Coronavirus May Be Seasonal After All

Robert S. Hays

News Picture: Coronavirus May Be Seasonal After All

THURSDAY, June eleven, 2020 (HealthDay Information) — This is a glimmer of hope about the new coronavirus: New analysis finds it appears to comply with a seasonal sample that is related to the flu.

Researchers identified that all cities/locations with significant COVID-19 outbreaks have related winter climates, with an typical temperature of 41 to fifty two levels Fahrenheit, typical humidity amounts of forty seven% to seventy nine%, and are located within a latitude band of thirty to 50 N.

This features Wuhan, China South Korea Japan Iran Northern Italy Seattle and northern California.

The findings also recommend that U.S. mid-Atlantic states may perhaps be at threat, as very well as New England, according to researchers at the Institute of Human Virology (IHV) at the University of Maryland School of Medication (UMSOM) and the Global Virus Community (GVN).

“Dependent on what we have documented so significantly, it appears that the virus has a tougher time spreading amongst individuals in warmer, tropical climates,” stated analyze leader Dr. Mohammad Sajadi, an affiliate professor of drugs at UMSOM, medical professional-scientist at IHV, and a member of GVN.

The researchers made use of temperature knowledge from the prior several months, as very well as regular temperature styles from final yr, to forecast community unfold of COVID-19 within the upcoming several months.

The upcoming move is to identify if temperature and climate forecasts could make the predictions a lot more trusted.

Examine co-author Dr. Anthony Amoroso stated, “I think what is vital is that this is a testable speculation.” Amoroso is an affiliate professor of drugs at UMSOM and chief of clinical treatment systems for IHV.

“If it holds legitimate, it could be very helpful for wellness system planning, surveillance and containment initiatives,” he extra in an institute news release.

The analyze was posted online June eleven in JAMA Community Open up.

According to Dr. Robert Gallo, an IHV co-founder and director, co-founder and chairman of the International Scientific Management Board of GVN, and a professor at UMSOM, “Through this substantial analysis, it has been determined that temperature modeling could likely reveal the unfold of COVID-19, producing it doable to forecast the locations that are most possible to be at higher threat of significant community unfold in the around future.”

— Robert Preidt

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Supply: Institute of Human Virology, news release, June eleven, 2020

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